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Quarterly Macroeconomic Review - III Q, 2023

  • Friday, 10 November 2023 12:29
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Each month/quarter, PBO issues short macroeconomic reviews. Those monthly/quarterly reviews, which are based on information from the Geostat, National bank of Georgia and Ministry of Finance and use PBO estimations, provide information on the monthly/quarterly status of core macro aggregates.

HIGHLIGHTS

  • In Q3 2023, according to preliminary estimate real GDP increased by 5.4%. Should be remarked, that real GDP growth is in less than forecasted 6.9% in August by parliamentary budget office.
  • In Q3 2023, annual inflation amounted to 0.6%, lower than the inflation target of 3.0%.
  • In Q3 2023, negative overall balance of consolidated budget amounted to GEL 834.5 million.
  • Public debt in nominal terms shows increasing trend. The share of external debt in total public debt decreased. Namely, the share of external debt made up 73.7%, while the same indicator in Q3, 2022 was 76.3%.
  • In Q2* 2023, current account balance worsened. Namely, current account negative balance amounted to USD 366.0 million.
  • In Q3 2023, the amount of international reserves reached to USD 5,273.2 million.
  • In Q3 2023, the share of the export in external trade decreased from 30.0% to 28.7% YoY.
  • In Q3 2023, remittances decreased by 15.1% YoY and amounted to USD 872.0 million.
  • Monetary policy (refinancing) rate decreased to 10.0% since September, 2023.
  • GEL depreciated against USD by 2.4% QoQ and appreciated by 7.7% YoY.
  • Dollarization coefficient decreased on both deposits and loans YoY.

For details on other economic parameters, see Full document.

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  • Quarterly Macroeconomic Review - III Q, 2023
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